作者位次 #2/8ACL 2026Poster· ACL Industry Track
LLM as a Risk Manager: LLM Semantic Filtering for Lead–Lag Trading in Prediction Markets
Sumin Kim · Minjae Kim · Jihoon Kwon · Yoon Kim · Oscar Levy · Alejandro Lopez-Lira · Yongjae Lee · CHANYEOL CHOI
摘要
Prediction markets provide a unique setting where event-level time series are directly tied to natural-language descriptions, yet discovering robust lead–lag relationships remains challenging due to spurious statistical correlations. We propose a hybrid two-stage causal screener to address this c...