E. Kelly Buchanan

Designing expressive sequence layers with efficient inference remains a central challenge in modern machine learning. Standard softmax attention achieves excellent sequence modeling performance through rich nonlinear token interactions, but it requires a key-value cache that grows linearly with sequence length, limiting its scalability. Linear attention enables efficient recurrent computation with a constant memory footprint, yet its reduced expressivity often yields inferior modeling performance. We introduce Switching Linear Attention (SwiLA), a novel sequence layer that bridges this gap by enhancing representational capacity while retaining the fixed-size recurrent state of linear attention. We derive the SwiLA recurrence from the test-time regression framework, casting the state update rule as online expectation-maximization in a mixture of linear regressions model. At test time, each output dimension dynamically selects among multiple linear attention components based on the input. Across associative recall, in-context language learning, and language modeling benchmarks, SwiLA shows strong performance and narrows the gap to softmax attention, even surpassing it in several settings.

Modern LLMs scale at test-time, e.g. via repeated sampling, where inference cost grows with model size and the number of samples. This creates a trade-off that pretraining scaling laws, such as Chinchilla, do not address. We present Train-to-Test ($T^2$) scaling laws that jointly optimize model size, training tokens, and number of inference samples under fixed end-to-end budgets. $T^2$ modernizes pretraining scaling laws with pass@$k$ modeling used for test-time scaling, then jointly optimizes pretraining and test-time decisions. Forecasts from $T^2$ are robust over distinct modeling approaches: measuring joint scaling effect on the task loss and modeling impact on task accuracy. Across eight downstream tasks, we find that when accounting for inference cost, optimal pretraining decisions shift radically into the overtraining regime, well-outside of the range of standard pretraining scaling suites. We validate our results by pretraining heavily overtrained models in the optimal region that $T^2$ scaling forecasts, confirming their substantially stronger performance compared to pretraining scaling alone. Finally, as frontier LLMs are post-trained, we show that our findings survive the post-training stage, making $T^2$ scaling meaningful in modern deployments.